Gaza 2001

Funeral of young boy in Rafah, Gaza, May 2001

In  2001 I went to Gaza, as a fledgling panorama news photographer. This was not yet a valid passport to success, but with the help of Gary Knight of Newsweek, and after queuing up for many hours at a nameless  bureaucratic office in Jerusalem, at the last moment I was granted permission to enter Gaza. Despite some controversy over my tripod bag, which apparently resembled a rifle holster, I walked the walk into this hell-hole at the only entry point, the Erez Crossing. Way back in 2001 this place was a war zone, as can be seen from my photographs and panoramas, I was both appalled and excited. At the time Gaza was still occupied by the Israelis, who lived in sequestered areas and bunkers, with a very heavy, but hidden military presence. Despite the fact you cannot see them, many Israeli guns will have been pointed at my head. The level of destruction throughout Gaza was staggering, even at that time. Sadly, this forlorn area has been a disaster waiting to happen for many decades. We went straight to a hotspot in Southern Gaza at Khan Yunis, a site of recent Israeli shelling and a refugee camp. Since there were still Israeli factories and residences in Gaza, the level of military intimidation was still very high. Bizarrely I saw advertisements at the time in the Israeli Press for holidays in Gaza, it certainly would not have been my first choice holiday destination, despite the long beaches. 

for a larger panorama click fullscreen, or on a phone go here

After photographing the checkpoint outside Khan Yunis at Gush Qateef (which protected an Israeli enclave), which you can see in the panoramas, we went the following day to the funeral of two young boys in Rafah (see above), killed by the bombing. Emotions ran high and as an outsider it was a genuinely scary experience on the way to the cemetery and many guns were fired into the air. A sense of this can be seen in the video below. Following this striking experience we waited around in the hot sun to meet the Fatah Hawks. Eventually we were taken to their apartment, filled with more guns, to negotiate an interview. It was a scary situation to me, but nothing much happened, everyone was polite and we had some tea. However this was not the end of the story, since a few days later these Hawks would kidnap my photographer friend Gary and the Newsweek bureau chief, as detailed in this CNN article. No doubt these gunmen were to become members of what now would be called Hamas, who were already making a deadly play against Fatah, the Palestinian Authority who controlled Gaza. Luckily my friends were released after only one day, while if I had gone back to Gaza with Gary I am sure I would been on the kidnap list as well. This brief event made worldwide news. After the the Israelis left Gaza in 2005, Hamas became the democratically elected rulers of Gaza in 2006. There have been no elections since.

Man pleads his case at Israeli Checkpoint, Gaza 2001

We headed back to Gaza City, via a new housing development that had been shelled. On the way we were stopped by the Israeli army at the Kfar Darom Checkpoint, since I had illegally been taking pictures from the back of the car. Because we had good accreditation Gary managed to talk our way out of a sticky situation involving large machine guns. After these full-on days and sleepless nights we relaxed in Gaza City, I believe at the Al Deira Hotel. Wow, now I felt like a proper Newsweek journalist  (it was a luxury hotel), and we even managed to wangle a bottle of wine. Of course we did have to drink it a 100 yards away from any other guests, so as not to upset them, but that was down by the beach so it was fine. I got out safely with a real sense of relief, but as mentioned above Gary had to go back a few days later for the ill-fated interview with the Hawks. For a few moments I feared the worst. Still it was a successful trip and my panoramas were published on the foto8 photojournalism website. I was nicknamed Mr. Bean by our excellent local fixer, due to my insouciance. Taking the hint, I did eventually make the decision that artistic photography was probably a better direction for me than preying on other peoples misfortunes, there was to be no more war photojournalism. It had been an interesting experience, but was not to be repeated.

Since I left Gaza, it has been prey to a series of deadly bombings in 2008–2009, 2012, 2014 and 2021 by Israel, while in 2007 Human Rights Watch described the Gaza Strip as an “open-air prison”. When I was there in 2001 I could already have told them that, since even then there appeared little hope for this beleaguered and isolated strip of land, home to two million people. The international community has allowed this unbearable situation to fester and should bear responsibility. Gaza, totally reliant on foreign aid, and with no control over it’s own water supply, electricity, airspace, coastline, imports and infrastructure has been made into a tinderbox waiting to explode. Nevertheless that does not excuse the appalling and self-serving actions of Hamas on the 7th of October 2023. I fear more death.

A good sense of my feelings was expressed in this 2006 Panoramic Music Video, using the photographs taken in Gaza :

Question Time 1982

Is it Ronald Reagan’s idea of an April Fools Day Joke to say he is going to reduce nuclear weapons?

This was my question on the 88th edition of Question Time on April 1st 1982 at the Greenwood Theatre in London.

I invented this question on the actual evening as I entered the building, due to a headline in the Evening Standard that day. We had already posed another question on the invitation weeks earlier. The minute I wrote down this question I felt it had a good chance of being selected, it was right on cue. Even then I knew it fulfilled the brief to be up to the minute. 

My question was highly apposite, since our Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher and the American President Ronald Reagan had been spending many millions on installing Cruise missiles at Greenham Common, leading to widespread protests. Reagan would later declare Russia to be an “Evil Empire”, making the case for deploying NATO nuclear-armed intermediaterange ballistic missiles in Western Europe. Yet on this day an Evening Standard headline falsely claimed that Reagan would be reducing the deployment of nuclear weapons, which I believed merited some suspicion, if not downright disbelief.

Sir Robin Day, the host (see above), was magnificent and I was very impressed with the Tory Norman St John-Stevas. During the warm-up with test questions they were both hilarious, but a lot more circumspect when the show went live, to my disappointment. Little known to me at the time was John Smith, later to become Leader of the Labour Party in 1992. The other panel members were MP Mike Thomas, a founder member of the SDP, and Terry Marsland, a feminist member of the TUC.

I wore a very loud and gay pink shirt, so I certainly stood out, and I believe you had to stand up when suddenly you were told to ask your question. For many years, if not decades, people would tell me they had seen me on TV. I had already long forgotten about it, but it was a powerful lesson in the power of the media, since it had been seen by many millions of people.

Of course the response to my question was a lot of humming and hawing, no-one said that nuclear weapons were an insult to our culture, civilisation or even religion, as I wanted them to. No-one came out in direct support of the Greenham Common Women’s Peace Camp, though some expressed sympathy. I thought it was a poor response. Yes, I was a strong supporter of CND at the time and still am. I should point out here, that in 2020 the UK are still spending $6.2 billion every year ($72.6 billions spent worldwide) on nuclear weapons, which could destroy the world as we know it. While I was proud of my question, I gave an anodyne response when the question was referred back to me, which I had not been expecting. This was a very live show at the time. I simply said I agreed with John Smith. Always prepare a witty and cutting answer!


Refs:
Global Nuclear Weapons Spending 2020 https://d3n8a8pro7vhmx.cloudfront.net/ican/pages/2161/attachments/original/1623169371/Spending_Report_ExecutiveSummary.pdf?1623169371

The cost of the UK’s strategic nuclear deterrent 2023
https://researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/CBP-8166/CBP-8166.pdf

I hate to say it, but Boris was right

35

The Guardian 14th February 2022

Yes it turns out Boris was right to end the the pandemic restrictions, since now hardly anybody is dying from Covid. Let us not forget that the 35 deaths above are people who have died within 28 days of their first positive test, and they did not all die from the direct effects of Covid. This manner of counting has greatly increased the number of deaths (and the level of panic). The BBC estimates that currently, fewer than two in every three Covid-related deaths are estimated to be caused by the infection. Fewer people are currently dying than the average for the last five years.

Another criticism was that he was not backed up by the scientists, who usually surround him. I presume that was because their projections had proven to be drastically wrong. The modellers from Imperial College and SAGE (Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies), who inspired the lockdown, have appeared to get lost in their own statistics and preferred to err on the side of caution, if not plain dystopia. To quote from The Guardian:

Prof Neil Ferguson, went further and suggested that, following the “freedom day” relaxation of restrictions on 19 July, the 100,000 figure was “almost inevitable” and that 200,000 cases a day was possible. Cases topped out at an average of about 50,000 a day just before “freedom day”, before falling and plateauing between 25,000 and 45,000 for the next four months.

Now that at is an error of 200-300%, plainly not acceptable. (Incidentally, Professor Ferguson had to resign from SAGE for breaking lockdown restrictions.) This is just one example of the scientific modellers getting it wrong, just think of those empty Nightingale Hospitals costing 530 million. Now that the dust is settling it is worthwhile to look at overall death rates to discover the reality of the situation. From one perspective Covid in 2020-2021 has proven to be just more than twice as deadly as Flu in 2014-2015. However it is more interesting to look at the Global Excess Death Rates, since this removes the problems about how you count Covid deaths. Undoubtedly Covid has been a major and deadly pandemic, shown by the fact that most countries have suffered excess deaths (that is more than the expected average). On a fascinating chart compiled by The Economist, the UK is roughly in the middle with 222 Excess Deaths per 1000 people, yet for Sweden, which did not have a lockdown, the figure is 126. Draw your own conclusions, here are some numbers:

Excess deaths since country’s first 50 covid deaths
Last updated on February 14th 2022

  • Bulgaria: 919 Excess Deaths per 1000 people
  • South Africa: 414 Excess Deaths per 1000 people
  • USA: 305 Excess Deaths per 1000 people
  • UK: 222 Excess Deaths per 1000 people
  • France: 150 Excess Deaths per 1000 people
  • Sweden: 126 Excess Deaths per 1000 people
  • Japan: 16 Excess Deaths per 1000 people
  • New Zealand: -51 Excess Deaths per 1000 people

Yes the -51 for New Zealand does mean that more people are living than expected! I hope they will be fully immunised by the time the the virus does hit them, which seems inevitable sooner or later. Another issue which has recently become clearer is that Covid basically preys upon the old and infirm, leading to this amazing quote from Professor Mark Woolhouse:

People over 75 are an astonishing 10,000 times more at risk than those who are under 15.

This statement is backed up by the graphic heatmap from the UK government website:

HeatSo why are we bothering to vaccinate children? In conclusion we have certainly made many mistakes, but I have been grateful for the vaccination programme and I am glad the restrictions are finally ending.

P.S. Boris is an arch manipulator and consummate liar!

Update 22/02/2022

A week later Simon Jenkins of The Guardian has written an uncannily similar analysis in the article “Johnson’s decision is political, but it’s right to end Covid restrictions in England“. In the course of said article he mentions Boris, excess deaths and Sweden, concluding about the scientists:

Too often scientists sound like just another interest group out to protect its reputation and budget. As Neil Ferguson’s Imperial College London modelling group were quoted as admitting: “We do not consider the wider social and economic costs of suppression.” It is why Sweden’s decision to avoid a draconian lockdown merits serious analysis. Its GDP fell by 2.9%, Britain’s by 9.4%. In the European league tables Sweden falls around the middle in deaths per capita, still well below Britain.

 Remember You Read It Here First!

Close The Nightclubs !!

Pasted Graphic

Woe Woe Woe
This is where the Brits are now

The onslaught of Covid-19 deaths, government confusion, social media madness and exaggerated statistics have brought us to a pretty pass. Yes we should all wear masks and socially distance forever say the British public. Or at least until Covid is under control worldwide, which is as good as forever, let’s be honest. Covid, like flu and the common cold, will not be going away in my lifetime. However, it gets even worse, we are truly living in fear when 27% of people say we should have a 10pm curfew, while 43% say all nightclubs and casinos should remain closed – although personally I don’t object to closing casinos, for other reasons entirely. This is definitely the most depressing poll I have ever read, and makes me worry profoundly about the country I am living in.

This poll was brought to my notice by an article in The Guardian by Joel Golby. He believes the reason behind these poll results is just that “being British is a type of madness”.

Ipsos MORI interviewed a representative sample of 1,025 British adults aged 16-75. Interviews were conducted online from 2-3 July 2021. Data are weighted to match the profile of the population. All polls are subject to a wide range of potential sources of error.

On a brighter note you can apply for your Covid “passport” letter here, presuming you are double vaccinated, like all sensible people. This URL should be front page news, but it is well hidden on the NHS website.

Update 20/05/23

Meanwhile in 2020 the Tories were organising parties in the midst of the Lockdown! At the time, London was under Tier-2 restrictions which banned indoor socialising, said the BBC. Shaun Bailey was a prospective Conservative candidate for the Mayor of London campaign, and has now been awarded a peerage by Boris Johnson.

Stop The City 1983-84

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Original leaflet from the third Stop the City Demo

Before the advent of Extinction Rebellion, mobiles and the internet there was a word of mouth demonstration in September 1983 which brought the City of London to a halt. This was followed by 2 more demos in March and September the following year. I attended and photographed the first two events, which can be seen here. 

048_StopTheCity1983The first demo was truly glorious and anarchic, since it was so unexpected. The whole area of the City of London became a “Carnival Against War, Oppression and Destruction”. Everywhere you went there were groups pf punks, anarchists, musicians and performers barricading banks, The Stock Exchange, Guildhall and The Royal Exchange. The Police were quite unprepared and the protestors roamed around freely, or held random sit-down protests.

Later in the afternoon more police and then the mounted police arrived, but despite many arrests the protest was mainly conducted in a peaceful manner.

stc200

The second demonstration in March 1984 was a different matter. This time the police were ready and out in force. You could be arrested for simply “stopping” in the street and the demo was confined to the environs of The Royal Exchange. Protestors were often arrested  or blockaded just on the way to the protest. A massive kettling operation took place at The Royal Exchange, leading to violence and many arrests.

124_StopTheCity1984

Personally I had to try and avoid being kettled, while also avoiding the police who would try and steal my camera at any opportunity. Luckily it was on a strong strap and I managed to wrestle it free from their grasp. They were animals that day, there are several photos of them strangling protestors. One famous photo by David Hoffman of a photographer in a chokehold, led to a £4.000 payout at the ensuing trial.

It was a miserable day, and a downpour in the afternoon doused spirits further, which was probably a good thing all round. Apparently the third demo was so well policed that hardly any demonstrators made it to the City.

There is not much good documentation of these protests on the web, but these links should provide some good info:

Wikipedia Stop the City
History is made at night

There are also some grainy and lo-res videos:

Stop The City – News Reports 1983 / 84
Roddy Melville Stop The City 1984
Stop The City 83-84 video by Mick Duffield and Andy Palmer (Crass)

STCback1920

Coronavirus Perspective

IMG_5894

Will Covid-19 be more deadly than the flu?

Public Health England told ITV News: The number of flu cases and deaths due to flu-related complications varies each flu season. The average number of deaths in England for the last five seasons, 2014/15 to 2018/19, was 17,000 deaths annually.

England Flu Death
Annual Flu (average)  :  17,000
2018-19  :  1,692 (flu jabs available)
2014-15  :  28,330
Of these 28,330 deaths, 25,143 were aged over 65, nearly 90%.

 On a historic and global scale
Worldwide Flu Death
Annual Flu (average)   :  0.5 million
1918 Flu Pandemic   :  20-100 million
1957 Asian Flu   :  1-4 million
1968 Hong Kong Flu   :  1-4 million

Never before has the world taken the drastic action of a global lockdown when confronted with a contagious virus. We are yet to see whether this will be effective.
Despite their high number, deaths from flu are not normally headline news, so what has changed?

 Conclusions

  • We do not yet know if coronavirus is more dangerous than the flu
  • Most political decisions have been taken without sufficient testing
  • It is impossible to know you have coronavirus without a test
  • Many people with coronavirus have no symptoms (asymptomatic)
  • We do not know how many people have coronavirus
  • This is a global pandemic
  • National borders are meaningless
  • We can all act together when necessary
  • The surveillance state is growing more powerful
  • Our liberty will be curtailed for the foreseeable future
  • The economic rules we live by will have to be revised
  • Petty differences evaporate when faced with universal calamity
  • This is a chance to build a more caring and unified world

Or perhaps we all now live in a Twitter Panic World…

References 
https://www.itv.com/news/2020-02-06/how-does-the-wuhan-coronavirus-compare-to-seasonal-flu/
https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/seasonal-influenza-guidance-data-and-analysis
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Influenza
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/mar/23/have-i-already-had-covid19-coronavirus
https://www.theguardian.com/world/ng-interactive/2020/mar/25/coronavirus-map-how-covid-19-cases-are-spreading-across-the-world

26th May Update – Timeline

 • 1st December 2019
First symptoms in Wuhan, China says The Lancet

• 22 January
WHO confirm human to human transmission
Wuhan enters lockdown for 76 days

• 22 February
First European death in Veneto, Italy

• 3rd March
Boris says Wash your Hands

• 11th March
WHO declares worldwide pandemic
Tory Health Minister Nadine Dorries tests positive

• 12th March
Boris says We are not – repeat not – closing schools now
Government does not go into Lockdown

• 23rd March
Boris says Stay at Home

• 6th April
Boris admitted to intensive care with Covid-19

 • 10th May
Boris says Stay Alert 

• 26th May
Metro newspaper says Stay Elite

EY45jnFXgAAzZuH

30th July Update
We are living in a panic world – For the last 5 weeks fewer people have died in England and Wales than in an average year says the Office for National Statistics. For example, that is 270 fewer deaths for the week ending 17 July 2020. This has not been headline news.

Roughly 620,000 people die every year in the UK. 2020 is lining up to be about eighth in the list for deaths since 1993, so it’s not particularly unusual in terms of the number of people who’ve died. Undoubtedly Covid has killed way too many people, but in normal times they would have been deaths from other causes. Let’s keep this in proportion…

References
Office for National Statistics

Michael Yeadon, formervp-of pfizer

Three Million Brexit Coins Recycled

50p

This says it all about the mis-management of the last three years.

50re

Out of the many skits on the Brexit 50p, this was my favourite, just set your own date.

50brex

This is the design that has been withdrawn, but featuring the ‘rather die in a ditch’ date of 31st October 2019. Yes let’s not forget there were another 10,000 ‘collector’ coins recycled last March. A Treasury spokesman said: “We will still produce a coin to mark our departure from the EU.” Pure hubris.

The Get Ready for Brexit on 31 October ad campaign has already cost £100 million.

 

Hi Greta Thunberg

greta55Hi Greta Thunberg
Every time you speak
I am very moved
Your simplicity and directness
Speak truth to power

Look to the bigger picture
Relatively speaking
There are too many people
Our power and demands are deadly
It’s not just carbon it’s people
Our planet earth is a dynamic place
Islands form and Islands die
Icecaps grow and recede
Extinction happens
We are not immune
We adapt
We will change
We are missionaries
With a new leader
Speak carefully
Stay Happy

“All of our environmental problems become easier to solve with fewer people, and harder – and ultimately impossible – to solve with ever more people.”
Sir David Attenborough, patron of Population Matters
When David Attenborough was born in 1926 there were 2 billion people in the world, now there are over 8 billion. That is some elephant in the room.
*

We think we know everything

quant_009

Every generation believes it is at the cutting edge, that we know everything we need to. It appears the society we live in could be made no other way, that progress has been made to get us to this apogee of civilisation. Both the Greeks and the Aztecs appear to have believed they had found the answers, as do most “civilised” societies, wherever they may be. No doubt Christians in the middle ages were glad to have resolved the mysteries of creation and to have a book of God’s laws they could believe in. Pity the poor pagans making pointless sacrifices, or the barely civilised natives of South America, they would not be going to Heaven. For in that moment God had given us all the answers. Come the industrial revolution and modern science, huge progress was made and the daily grind became steadily more distant. There were sewers, machines that milled and a better form of transport than the horse. We finally knew the shape of the world and could communicate across it, what more did we need? All we could eat was in a shop nearby.

Now we are in a new era of instant communication, we have atomic power and have visited the moon. We understand our own recipe, DNA, and can scan our own brains. The Universe started with the Big Bang and has been mapped. We even have the power to destroy our own planet. What more do we need to know?

That is the hubris of the human condition. We only see what we know and look back in pity and despair on our deluded forebears. Yet the world moves on dynamically outside our ken, at it’s own glacial speed, in ways we have yet to fathom. While we are proud to have split the atom and discovered the Higgs boson, we already sense this this is just the tip of the quantum iceberg. When we discovered the power of splitting the atom we thought we had solved our energy needs and in the rush of that discovery huge mistakes were made. Many lives were lost. Controlling nuclear fission turned out to be much more complicated than we had ever dreamed, while the cost of nuclear waste disposal turns out to be higher than the cost of nuclear reactor construction.

079_pfrcaveprint

Dounreay Prototype Fast Reactor (PFR) ©z360.com 1999

There is a universe of quantum effects which defeats our senses and understanding. Our logical and classical consciousness cannot comprehend matter which has properties of both waves and particles. Put simply, the quantum world is invisible, antithetical and incomprehensible to us. Einstein himself, a founder of quantum physics, had a great deal of difficulty with Heisenberg’s Uncertainty Principle, believing that “He (god) does not play dice”, and this conundrum has yet to be fully resolved. Nevertheless the existence of quantum entanglement or as Einstein called it ”spooky action at a distance” has not been disproven. Thus instead of becoming more comprehensible our sense of the world is slipping away into multiverses, live or dead cats and the flapping of a butterflies wing which can change everything. There are no longer truths, only possibilities. Maybe space itself has an atomic structure, currently unknown to us. We are moving into a world we cannot see, our senses blind to the machinations of the quantum world. Until recently we did not need to know this information to survive, the evolution of our senses has failed to keep up with our theoretical knowledge. In this situation mistakes are easily made.

Now we are aware of it, the effects of Quantum Mechanics, discovered in 1900 by Max Planck, appear all around us. Your USB stick uses quantum tunnelling, as does in effect the light switch, never mind the laser, transistor and LED bulb. That all seems quite sensible, but a new field is opening up called Quantum Biology, telling us that quantum effects are an integral part of living phenomena. So we think we know everything, but cannot explain the sense of smell. There are quantum effects at work here, and the harder you look, the more they start cropping up everywhere. It is a matter of asking the right questions. The tennis player can hit a ball that theoretically he has not had time to react to. A dog can smell things that aren’t there. A human eye can detect a single photon. Animals can navigate using the inclination of the magnetic field of the earth. These phenomena are believed to be caused by quantum effects. Indeed, quantum wave function collapse might be the root of our consciousness. Most vitally of all photosynthesis (used by all plants) appears to use quantum coherence. In other words, we really know nothing about how the world really works down at the atomic level. We may have an inkling, but there is a whole new science here to be discovered, which will in turn make what we believe now into a vaguely ridiculous approximation. Yes our descendants will laugh at our naivety, and so it will continue.

quant_005

Update 09/05/21

Our profound lack of self-knowledge is explained in the book The Idea of the Brain by Matthew Cobb (2020). We have no idea how the panoply of medicinal drugs (Librium, Vallium, SSRi’s) actually work. We do know the mind invents what we perceive, just one example being the invisible blind spot where the optic nerve enters the eye. Put simply, if we do not know how the brain works, how can we really know anything.
Despite a solid bedrock of understanding, we have no clear comprehension about how billions, or millions, or thousands, or even tens of neutrons work together to produce the brain’s activity.
Or as Olaf Sporns has put it:
Neuroscience still largely lacks organising principles or a theoretical framework for converting brain data into fundamental knowledge and understanding.

Matthew Cobb finishes his Introduction with this sentence:
The four most important words in science are “We do not know”.

The Disaster of Brexit

EU original 2

Firstly let’s be sure what a no-deal Brexit means. Apart from the disastrous economic consequences it means the dissolution of the United Kingdom. We will break the Good Friday agreement in Ireland, and Scotland will justifiably vote for independence. Neither Scotland or Northern Ireland voted for Brexit and they will not accept it. The negotiated Brexit deal on offer from Theresa May leaves us in a worse position than our current membership, with no voice in Europe. We can see both Ireland and France from our own shores, yet now we are setting up trade barriers with them. Let us not forget that nearly half of our trade is with the EU. I have lived through a time when I could travel to the end of a continent through many, many countries, with no encumbrance. There has been the longest peacetime ever recorded in Western Europe, for which the EU received the Nobel Peace Prize in 2012. Historically that is glorious and unprecedented, and now we are about to throw it away. I personally regard this as a betrayal of all that my parents and grandparents fought for in the 20th Century, through two World Wars. Not surprisingly there is no support for Brexit in parliament, and ministers are leaving the government in droves as a result. Indeed, as Joe Johnson phrased it in his resignation speech, the present choice is “vassalage or chaos”. There will either be a general election or another referendum.

Meanwhile we have wasted two years of our political life squabbling, and the fifth (or ninth) largest economy in the world has made itself into a laughing stock. I said the day after the 2016 referendum that this is basically about the Tories fighting amongst themselves, they have torn their own party apart as they scrabble for power, and damn the consequences. Let us not forget it was the Tories who invented the referendum, believing it would solve their own internal problems. As of 16 November 2018 there are eighteen senior Conservatives who have resigned over Brexit in less than six months, including two Secretaries of State for Exiting the European Union. How can you run a government, never mind a country, in these circumstances? Our chief Brexit negotiator, Mr Rabb, has resigned since he cannot support the deal that he himself negotiated. A pretty pass, which I am sure will be paid for at the ballot box.

The 2016 referendum itself was a farce. It was essentially a protest vote, which was quite understandable in the circumstances. Yes, 37% of UK citizens voted against austerity, immigration and David Cameron, and for Brexit. The level of debate within the Remain campaign during the referendum was of a pathetic and hubristic nature, they thought they couldn’t lose. The ignominy of David Cameron wandering around Europe, looking for a better deal, followed by the betrayal of his self-serving lieutenant, Boris Johnson, were enough to swing the vote for Leave. The Electoral Reform Society described the campaign as “dire” with “glaring democratic deficiencies” which left voters bewildered. Let’s not forget, you could only vote for Tories!

A few days after the referendum I was in a minicab with an Irish driver. As we chatted, I asked about the vote in Northern Ireland and the potential problems with the Irish border. He sounded like a Brexiteer (naturally, as Brits, we didn’t actually say how voted), but he had no idea that the vote would have any effect on the border situation. I didn’t regard this as a reflection on my driver, but as a comment on the wholesale failure by the Remain campaign to raise the relevant issues. We now know how large their failure was, since this has proved to be an insoluble problem, yet at the time hardly anyone appeared to know about it. The pro leave Democratic Unionist Party of Ulster (who have kept Theresa May in power) didn’t appear to appear to realise a hard border would be created by Brexit. Now they have been hoist by their own petard.

My other major issue with the campaign and the media is a severe case of amnesia, if not dereliction of duty. We had already voted to stay in the European Community in 1975 by a huge majority. This verdict was given by a vote with a bigger majority than has been received by any Government in any general election, more than 2 to 1. Today all the politicians say they are fearful of a second referendum, no no no it will be the third referendum! We were asked in June 1975 “Do you think the United Kingdom should stay in the European Community (the Common Market)?”. There was a resounding Yes! Yet it’s like this event happened in some alternate universe – no-one ever mentions it, but the fact is the current score is one all. Maybe it’s time for a decider.

Drapeau-europŽen-MEF-VA-003

Since 1973 we have been European, you can’t turn back time. In the long run the past never defeats the future. We came from Europe and shall forever be part of it.

Postscript 13 January 2019
It may turn out that Brexit was a chimera, that is according to the OED a “A thing which is hoped for but is illusory or impossible to achieve”. The Tories held an advisory referendum on a supposition they could not deliver. The Good Friday Agreement prevents a hard border in Ireland and so precludes the possibility of Brexit. If only our politicians had been wise enough to know that. After 2 years the Tories have failed to square that circle, and I imagine no-one ever will. Still if parliament unexpectedly agrees to Theresa May’s deal, we can look forward to another two years of bloody negotiation on the final trade arrangements. She has only agreed the framework withdrawal agreement at present, the rights of businesses and citizens remain largely untouched between Brexit day on March 29 2019 and 1 July 2020, which may be extended to January 2021. That is the transition period. Yes, Brexit aka “To hell with the rest of the world” has paralysed British politics. It is destroying British industry, investment and our place in the world, and will continue to do so. That’s some legacy for our children and the 1.3 million British Citizens living in the EU.

16 January 2019
Quotes from European newspapers after the the greater ever government defeat
“Shipwrecked by Brexit”
“It’s great theatre – but tragic.”
“A politically hopelessly divided and lame Britain”
“No country has landed itself in such complete and utter chaos”
“It’s the sort of mess Greece would get itself into.”
Quotes from The Guardian

And hopefully in conclusion:
Brexit is an advisory illegal chimera constructed by the Conservative Party to solve their own problems. They have failed.
We voted 2-1 to stay in the European Community in 1975 and it’s 44 Years too late to undo all that. We are Europeans.

6 February 2019
A special place in hell? The Brexit promoters most likely to burn.

3 September 2019
Tory Party becomes the Brexit Party, as Boris sacks all the Tories who will not back a no-deal Brexit. Tory Party now attempting to run the country without a majority and with an unelected leader. No-one ever voted for any of this.

9 September 2019
Leo Varadkar, Irish Prime Minister says:
“The story of Brexit will not end if the United Kingdom leaves on 31 October or even 31 January – there is no such thing as a clean break. No such thing as just getting it done. Rather, we just enter a new phase.
If there is no deal, I believe that’s possible, it will cause severe disruption for British and Irish people alike. We will have to get back to the negotiating table. When we do, the first and only items on the agenda will be citizens’ rights, the financial settlement and the Irish border. All the issues we had resolved in the withdrawal agreement we made with your predecessor. An agreement made in good faith by 28 governments.”

Update 1 June 2023
Unfortunately Brexit did get done, thanks Boris. It is finally officially a Disaster:

It’s been a complete disaster. The reality is it’s been a lose-lose situation for us and Europe. …. And the reality of Brexit was, it was just was a bunch of complete and total lies.
– Guy Hands, City figure and Tory donor, 31 Jan 2023  Radio 4 Today

Brexit has been a fucking absolute unmitigated disaster.
– Noel Gallagher, Big Issue 12 May 2023

Brexit has failed.
– Nigel Farage, Newsnight 15 May

Immigration has gone up, not down, since we left the EU.
The Guardian, 19 May

British households have paid £7bn since Brexit to cover the extra cost of trade barriers on food imports from the EU.
– London School of Economics (LSE),
24 May  The Guardian

56% people in the UK would vote to rejoin the EU.
John Curtice, Poll of polls  May 2023

Historic economic error.
– Larry Summers, former US treasury secretary,  1 June  The Guardian

There Were No Countries

World_map_blank_without_borders1920

Without countries, the whole question of nationality dissolves. Nearly all countries have been invented in the last few hundred years. Germany and Italy only became nation states in 1871. The Act of Union creating the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Ireland was passed by Parliament in 1800. The United States of America was named in 1776, but only became the country we know today in the mid 19th century. If you look at France it is even stranger. From a series of completely separate fiefdoms with different languages, after the revolution of 1789 they gradually became a unified country, with one language mandated by 1880. This unification and language normalisation all took a long time. In the 1940s, more than one million people in France still spoke Breton as their first language. Until you all speak the same language, you really shouldn’t really be called a country. So France was hardly what we would now call a country until maybe the 1950s. The same goes for many other countries, excluding Belgium of course, which has three official languages in various dialects. Canada also has two official languages, French and English, yet it has managed to remain a unified country. This is a complicated subject.

Does a language define a country? Well maybe it should, for how else can you do it? Obviously where someone is born no longer defines nationality. It is a matter of chance, we could be born anywhere, and often are. Place of birth does have a bearing on our cultural beliefs and behaviour, but not in a readily definable way – it all depends on our personal history. The fact is that language is a primary factor, since the structure of language already contains a hidden and unconscious stack of social rules and behaviours. You only have to look at the structure of a particular language to see it echoed in actual social behaviour –  84% of Dutch people do not believe you are Dutch unless you speak Dutch. Language has become the defining cultural factor of what we call nationality.

Following this reasoning, in a world where English is now the first or second language for most people, the so called English aka American language is about to take over. Soon we will all be “English”. Mandarin Chinese may be spoken by more people, but it is not a numbers game, it is an influence game. Many African countries are now adopting English as their first language, for economic reasons. In the light of this information the United Kingdom’s departure from any influence over the European Community seems like a betrayal of historic partnerships. We have already won the battle of language, now we retreat? However, slowly, with many bumps in the road, we are all coming together, becoming one, like it or not. News, sport, music and cinema are already global concerns.

The evident craziness of the country concept becomes obvious at the level of sport. Now the passport of the sportsman is up for grabs, following rules which can change, and are different for each sport. Many English sport-stars were born in another country, became naturalised here, and became English. I’m referring to Johanna Konta from Australia, Mo Farah from Somalia, Linford Christie from Jamaica, for example. My mother was born in Indonesia and my uncle in Peking; they both represented Scotland at university level athletics. But of course now they could represent China, Scotland, Indonesia, United Kingdom, Borneo, England or nearly any other country in the world, depending on their residency history. Neither ancestors nor place of birth define your sporting nationality, there are choices to be made. So in the recent European Championships, Israel is represented by Lonah Chemtai Salpeter, a Kenyan runner who has lived in Israel for eight years, Turkey is represented by Jak Ali Harvey from Jamaica, who previously had run for Jamaica at high school level. Of course in football, with so much money running around, the rules are even more byzantine. That is presuming a footballer worth £10 million can get a visa.

Of course if you are rich enough, the world is your oyster. Indeed for the super rich there are still no countries, nationality is just another commodity. Citizenship can be bought in over 20 countries round the world. Even in the USA, so mindful of immigration, residence is awarded to foreign nationals who invest $1m in the economy and create 10 full-time jobs for US citizens within two years of arrival. If you want to live in Europe you can buy an EU passport in Malta for only 650,000 euros. In the UK may I suggest joining the Tier 1 Investor Programme with £2,000,000 in your pocket. Come on down, join our country!

The entire concept of nationality is built on a colonialist concept of the world. Borders were invented by Victorians drawing lines on a map, now we have to live with these arbitrary lines as if they were god-given. Of course they slice through many tribes and communities, which the Victorian map-makers often had no notion of. Only 70 years ago a line was drawn partitioning India into two countries, along religious lines, and over 14 million people were displaced. The most nefarious effects have been in Africa, leading to ongoing conflicts, most recently in Sudan, but their blight can also be vividly seen in the Middle East.

Cornell University – PJ Mode Collection of Persuasive Cartography.

We have to get over the idea of nationalism, it is meaningless. The recent DNA investigations of our genetic origins make a joke out of our petty racist behaviour. Apparently most English people came from first Northern Portugal, then Middle Europe,  Germany and Denmark. We have only been here for 6000 years and the Welsh have more right to be called English, if you follow the law of the soil argument,  than most people in Kent, who arrived from Europe more recently. Genetically speaking, Israelis and Palestinians cannot be separated, so why build a wall? We should look at nationality like supporting a football team, a completely arbitrary decision based on random cultural associations and proximity to the ground where the football is played.

It might seem as if I’m saying where you come from does not matter. It absolutely does, it defines our cultural and social identity – you might rise above it, so to speak, but you will never escape it. We are who we are, our identity cannot be subsumed. In our new modern world, our global village, the possibilities seem endless, but they are a chimera. We can’t all just go and live where we want, in our rapid transit world that is a recipe for chaos. Realistically, residency has to be a managed process, however hard that might be. We have yet to come to terms with this new reality, now that you can cross continents in a few hours. The situation where the best educated Asians and Africans came to live in the UK, to work in our National Health Service for example, should be coming to an end. They are needed in their own countries, where they can accomplish so much more. We should no longer be encouraging them to emigrate, but training them so they can return home and improve their own societies. We should all be encouraged to visit, just don’t miss the last bus home.

World government already exists, it’s called the UN, for better or worse. Since 1948 it subscribes to The Universal Declaration of Human Rights, which is a cool document in over five hundred languages and it should be taught in all of our schools. The United Nations might still be structured in terms of countries, but the decisions they make are world decisions. That is the only way forward.

Originally stardust
Then bilateral
Now I am Human
I live on Earth, I am an Earthling
I came from Africa
I am a member of the United Nations
I am a European
I am at present a member of the European Union
I am a member of the currently privileged Western Elite
I am a Scotsman
I am a UK citizen
I have the right of abode in the United Kingdom
I was born in Romford, Essex
I may be Scenglish
I do not identify as English, except when England play football

My father was born in Dunfermline, Fife
My mother was born in Sumatra, Indonesia
My brother is a Kiwi
My sons are Jewish UK citizens, soon to become Germans

I am roughly 4% Neanderthal
Some Asians are a bit Denisovan
We are the sole survivors of the genus Homo
We are all Homo Sapiens

Forget Countries
We are the World

O

You cannot kill an ideology with a gun

Prosecutor at the Nuremberg Trials Remembers

2006

97-year-old Sgt Benjamin Ferencz, originally from a Jewish family in Transylvania, helped liberate the death camps in Europe, became a chief US prosecutor in the Nuremberg Trials and was instrumental in establishing the International Criminal Court. He is the last surviving prosecutor from the 1947 Nazi Nuremberg Trials.

Following a chance encounter with this inspiring man on the BBC World Service radio programme Hardtalk I have assembled these quotations. He spoke with self effacing honesty, his direct words often laced with a bitter humour.

As he says think about it and act on it.

  • I served for three years in the United States Army, in every battle from the Battle of the Bulge to the beaches of Normandy, and I tell you there will never be a war without crimes – never – because warfare itself is the biggest crime of all.
  • We were trying to show people how horrible it is if you take a leader who’s very charismatic, and unquestionably follow him, even to murdering little children. These were educated people; one was a father of five children. They were not all wild beasts with horns.
  • These were patriots trying to do their duty to protect either their religion, their nationality or their economic security.
  • They wanted to brag about how many they killed.
  • War makes mass murderers out of otherwise decent people.
  • Hell would be paradise, compared to what I saw.
  • I never tried to do justice in the broad sense of holding every criminal accountable, it would have been a practical impossibility.
  •  Vengeance is not our goal.
  • We have not learnt the lessons of Nuremberg.
  • The most powerful nations of the world are not yet ready to surrender what they perceive as a sovereign right to use whatever means they perceive to be necessary in order to protect their own interests as they see them.
  • No politician appears without his flags flying.
  • For centuries we have glorified warmaking.
  • We have not learnt that you cannot kill an ideology with a gun.
  • Use of armed force to obtain a political goal should be condemned as an international and a national crime.
  • The world has changed, we’re not throwing rocks anymore, we’re gonna kill everybody.
  • Think of all the money we are wasting on preserving the outdated nuclear weapons, which nobody knows what to do with and which are obsolete.
  • My general reasoning is that the world is a small planet. We must share the resources on this planet, so that everyone can live in peace and human dignity, and it can be done. The recognition that we have to move as a unit gave us the EU, it gave us the US, 50 states with very differing opinions. Most wars are fought against another group, the ‘other’. When you are a part of the other, you’re less inclined to attack it.
  • Law is always better than war.
  • Law must apply equally to everyone.
  • The re-education of the human spirit on a worldwide basis is the task before us, and we are doing it.
  • Fundamental things such as colonialism and slavery, the rights of women, the emancipation of sex, landing on the moon, these were inconceivable not long ago. But miracles can be performed.

4962

References

Ben Ferencz Website
Wikipedia
The Guardian Interview
BBC Hardtalk

 

The Destruction of the Tories

They split themselves
They insulted each other
They divided the Country
They fractured the Union
They tore the heart out of Europe
They followed a Farage

The Impoverishment continues
Oh Little England Shire
Adrift from The World
Who needs friends
With Boris as Captain
There will be more red faces

History will revile them
Black Friday until then

4am Friday 24 June 2016

 

Postscript
Barely 4 months later :

_91552987_mail

 

Postscript 2
04/12/18. Nigel Farage quits the UK Independence party, which has no Members of Parliament and received less than 2% of the popular vote at the 2017 election.

Postscript 3
23/07/19. After three years of futile and meaningless goverment Boris is finally the Captain as I predicted. His betrayal of David Cameron must all seem worth it.

See The Disaster of Brexit

Soul Diva 2015

I am not American, Black, or a Woman, but I could not fail to be moved by this inspired performance of Aretha Franklin. She was singing (You Make Me Feel Like) A Natural Woman by Carole King and Gerry Goffin at the 2015 Kennedy Center Honors.

Moving, because despite the trappings, it appears so spontaneous and genuinely soulful. Aretha starts off simply at the piano, belting out the chords, singing as if not a moment had passed since her original recording back in 1967. Soon she is moving off the rhythm, interpreting, comping and finally testifying, to an audience now on their feet. The 4 minutes seem like an entire concert that builds to a final operatic moment, with the audience in thrall to a true diva.

The atmosphere is heightened by the presence of the songwriter Carole King, who appears both surprised and delighted at this unexpected performance. In the same way the presence of The President and his wife lend the proceedings a gravity and wider meaning, given that back in 1967 America was riven by racial strife, and no-one expected to see a Black President in their lifetime.
~
In one sense, to say that the best vocal performance of 2015 is by a 73 year old of a 50 year old song is a sad reflection on contemporary popular music. Where are the truly memorable new songs? What happened to singing with soul, conviction and meaning? We still need more of that…

PS Original High Quality Video withdrawn, hope this one works !

F.O.N.A. : Fear Of No Aliens

Image

cloudsgod

“God is always with us even through the storms.. “

Finally here we are at the end of 20 Centuries alone, our greatest fear realised. We are shivering in our new found isolation as the reality dawns that there really is no one out there. For eons human beings have found comfort in a cornucopia of gods who have slowly become more distant and evanescent, until now when they have finally slowly evaporated into the myths of former ages.

Surely no-one really believes that, for example, the Bible is the actual word of god, since we now know who wrote it – the Gospels were written not by disciples or eyewitnesses but by Romans a century after the death of Jesus.  As initially the Age of Enlightenment, followed by the observational and predictive nature of science engulfed us, we lost our pagan belief in the supernatural. The initial reasons for our pagan beliefs were swept away piece by piece: the world is round, there is an invisible force called gravity, we are all related, invisible germs do exist, we are a speck on the edge of the universe and amazingly E = mc2. Just as our notion of the universe has expanded, so the gods have inevitably been placed further away. We may not find them for sometime. In my lifetime god was initially living behind a cloud just up there, then perhaps in another dimension or time immemorial, now he is way out beyond the big bang. This is so far away as to be meaningless and certainly not the nearby bearded grandfather figure we initially invented to help soothe our troubled souls.

GodCreates-Man-Sistine-Chapel

God Creates Adam, Sistine Chapel 1508 by Michelangelo

Yet the nebulous desire for some sort of supernatural relationship is buried deep in our psyche, as evidenced by our positing of external spiritual influences in nearly all historical societies. Recent times have seen the supplanting of supernatural forces, whether they be ghosts, spirits or gods, with a fresh look to the heavens for salvation. There must be something out there, and we attempt to will it into existence through science fiction. The near universal popularity of Star Wars ($27 billion income) and Star Trek (by 1972 it was being syndicated in 60 countries) demonstrates the contemporary desire to meet an alien, to have a family, to not be alone.

By doing away with our gods and their self-appointed agents we have lost some comfort and certainty in our lives, yet the benefits of freedom from the savagery of the Old Testament and hell-fire damnation are myriad. In the harsh light of our modern scientific reality, there has been a more realistic look at our own behaviour and the mutual responsibilities to our isolated planet, which should eventually have a positive outcome.

fona-books Science currently tells us there must, by the law of probability, be more life in the universe. An example of this is the Drake equation, which gives an estimate of the number of civilisations in our galaxy. Since we have yet to find extraterrestrial life we are confronting a new universal existential anxiety: Fear Of No Aliens or FONA. This is not a new idea, but a contemporary restatement of the eternal conundrum “Why are we here?”, which our historical myths and religions have claimed to answer for many centuries. Now if we can’t find those pesky aliens, we will invent them, we are used to doing that. Perhaps it may be better to “unask” the question as some eastern philosophies do.

Mars Spirit Rover Photograph 2008      

NASA Mars Spirit Rover Photograph 2008

Once recognised FONA can be seen coursing through our culture in many different guises, from the medieval fear of a godless world to our adoption of the Gaia hypothesis, which posits that Earth is a self-regulating system. With the decline of violence (cf. The Better Angels of Our Nature by Stephen Pinker) and the cultural opposition to xenophobia, we can finally embrace the so called alien and hence make our discovery of it more realistic.

FONA is simply the latest development in a seemingly never ending quest, a more mature yet still perplexing reaction to our perceived place in the universe. Is there anyone out there? We fervently hope so, to the point that we have already invented a panoply of anthropomorphic aliens, just as we once did with our gods. The difference is now that we recognise our own creations for what they are: science fiction. Nevertheless the emotional desire to find the alien/god/creator/teacher remains strongly within our human psyche. It looks like FONA will be with us for some time to come, maybe it always has been.

Ilc_9yr_moll4096

WMAP image of the universe 13.8 billion years ago, shaped by Quantum Effects

Perhaps we are here with our unique self-awareness just to strive to explore…and one day find those aliens.

“We are just an advanced breed of monkeys on a minor planet of a very average star. But we can understand the Universe. That makes us something very special.”

Stephen Hawking Der Spiegel (17 October 1988)

For further information see The Fermi Paradox
Enrico Fermi (1901–1954) saw the apparent contradiction between high estimates of the probability of the existence of extraterrestrial civilizations, such as in the Drake equation, and the lack of evidence for such civilizations.

aka: Where is everybody? • Where are they? • The Great Silence • silentium universi

•••

 

In My World

There is One World

No nuclear weapons
No intercontinental missiles
No landmines
No cluster bombs
No capital punishment
All guns are licensed
A maximum of 1% GDP can be spent on security

A maximum of 2 children per person
Condoms and contraception are free
Food, water and medicine are the great priorities
Education is mandatory for all 5-15 year olds
We wish to eliminate suffering
We are all in this together
We are as guardians

No politicians or ideologies
There are only administrators
The Universal Declaration of Human Rights must be respected
The Geneva Conventions are sacrosanct
All administrators are regularly elected
All countries are inviolate but meaningless

There are no tax havens or secret accounts
The rich subsidise the poor
Corruption is a great crime
Planning is long term
The least harm is the greatest good
Local and small is beautiful

Insurance is limited
Gambling and share dividends are taxed
Tax is high, gradated and simple
Things will never be equal
We move towards equality
We are the 99%

Energy is expensive
Meat is a luxury
Flying is taxed
Houses are insulated
A harvested tree must be replaced
The polluters must pay

Everyone has a home
Allotments and local produce are encouraged
Immigration is licensed
Racism, sexism and indoctrination are banned

You can only fight yourself
No More War

© Douglas Cape 2009/2011

 

Links for “In My World”

The Universal Declaration of Human Rights

The Geneva Conventions

Information Is Beautiful

Inequality.org

Population Matters

Peace Pledge Union

Stop the War Coalition

Campaign for Nuclear Disarmament

World Coalition Against the Death Penalty

Amnesty International – Abolish the death penalty

The Richard Dawkins Foundation for Reason and Science

Schumacher Institute for Sustainable Systems

Index on Censorship